CPI FORECAST
HEADLINE CPI ESTIMATE
Arkomina Research CPI forecast is part of Marko’s CPI Report.
Since introducing Marko's CPI Report in Mar 2023, Arkomina CPI estimates have had a close to perfect
average miss of only -2 bps for the headline CPI YoY.
CORE CPI ESTIMATE
Since introducing Marko's CPI Report in Mar 2023, average miss for the core CPI YoY has been only -3 bps.
PUBLISHED CPI
FORECASTS
HEADLINE PCE ESTIMATE
Arkomina Research PCE forecast is part of Marko’s Fed Report.
Since introducing public PCE estimates in Feb 2024, Arkomina PCE estimates have had a perfect
average miss of 0 bps for the headline PCE MoM.
CORE PCE ESTIMATE
Since introducing public PCE estimates in Mar 2024, average miss for the core PCE MoM has been only -1 bps.
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