CPI  FORECAST

HEADLINE  CPI  ESTIMATE

Arkomina Research CPI forecast is part of Marko’s CPI Report.

 

Since introducing Marko's CPI Report in Mar 2023, Arkomina CPI estimates have had a close to perfect

average miss of only -2 bps for the headline CPI YoY.

CORE  CPI  ESTIMATE

Since introducing Marko's CPI Report in Mar 2023, average miss for the core CPI YoY has been  only -3 bps.

PUBLISHED  CPI 

FORECASTS

Here are public links to prior CPI forecasts:

                                                             Dec 2023

                                                             Nov 2023

Oct 2024                                        Oct 2023

Sep 2024                                       Sep 2023

Aug 2024                                       Aug 2023

Jul 2024                                       Jul 2023

Jun 2024                                       Jun 2023

May 2024                                      May 2023

Apr 2024                                       Apr 2023

Mar 2024                                                           

Feb 2024                                       Feb 2023

Jan 2024                                        Jan 2023

 

*Note: Mar 2023 wasn’t publicly published.

 

PCE FORECAST

HEADLINE  PCE  ESTIMATE

Arkomina Research PCE forecast is part of Marko’s Fed Report.

 

Since introducing public PCE estimates in Feb 2024, Arkomina PCE estimates have had a perfect

average miss of 0 bps for the headline PCE MoM.

CORE  PCE  ESTIMATE

Since introducing public PCE estimates in Mar 2024, average miss for the core PCE MoM has been  only -1 bps.

PUBLISHED  PCE 

FORECASTS

Here are public links to prior PCE forecasts:

 

Sep 2024

Aug 2024

Jul 2024

Jun 2024

May 2024

Apr 2024

Mar 2024

Feb 2024

 

Impressed by Arkomina Research CPI and PCE forecasts' near-perfect track record?